India Defies Trump’s Tariff Threat, Deepens Russian Oil Alliance Amid U.S. Showdown

India signals unwavering energy independence as Trump’s tariffs and penalty threats escalate—facing down global pressure while keeping Russian oil deals alive.
Oil tankers at Indian port, sunrise

India Stands Firm: Russian Oil Buys to Continue

Senior Indian officials confirmed this week that the country will keep importing Russian crude oil, undeterred by President Trump’s latest tariff threats and U.S. warnings of “consequences” for energy deals with Moscow. [Reuters]

Long-Term Contracts Loom Large

Authorities say the deals are long-term and can’t unwind overnight—even with new diplomatic pressure.

Oil refinery at dusk in India

Economic Decisions Trump Geopolitics

Indian refiners say supply decisions follow economics—price, crude type, logistics, not international pressure.

Stabilizing Global Oil Markets

Importers argue discounted Russian crude helps moderate global oil prices, benefiting markets worldwide. [Economic Times]

Graph showing India's Russian oil imports share

Import Volume & Scale: Still India’s #1 Supplier

In H1 2025, India received 1.75 million barrels/day from Russia, up 1% year-on-year and 35% of total imports. July saw a dip to 1.6M bpd (24% down), share now at 34%. [Hindustan Times]

Trump's Tariffs Land, But Policy Unchanged

Trump imposed a 25% tariff on Indian goods effective August 2, with further penalties tied to Russian oil/arms purchases. New Delhi denies instructing refiners to stop Russian buys.

Double Standards? India, Analysts Critique West’s Position

Officials and analysts highlight Western hypocrisy—Europe imports Russian energy but condemns India for buying oil.

Indian oil sector workers and pipelines

Stakes: Billions & Inflation at Home

Analysts estimate losing Russian oil could raise India's import bill by $9–11 billion and drive inflation up. [Times of India]